Week 10 presents some interesting challenges with shorter lines across most NFL spreads, including the Eagles on the road in Denver. The Eagles will try and put behind them a last-second loss at home to the Chargers. The Broncos come off a throttling of the Cowboys as their offense looked sharp.
The consensus early line at sportsbooks has the Broncos laying less than a field goal. Jalen Hurts and Teddy Bridgewater will be the focus at QB, but the Eagles defense is the most vulnerable of all the units.
As expected, early money this week in NFL betting saw a significant amount on Denver, although nothing has moved it off it’s 2.5-point mark. Remember, Teddy Bridgewater owns a ridiculous 40-17-1 record ATS – better than anyone else since Teddy arrived in the NFL.
Take a look at Eagles vs. Broncos odds, injury report, betting lines and more.
Eagles vs. Broncos Key Matchups
Teddy B vs Eagles DBs: The Eagles defense is horrible against the pass – allowing QBs to do whatever they want with little pressure. Bridgewater is one of the most accurate short to mid-range QBs in the league.
Eagles Rush O vs Broncos Rush D: Jalen Hurts poses one of the most difficult matchups on the ground, leading the Eagles in rushing. The Broncos are 6th in the NFL in stopping the run.
Broncos Pass D vs Eagles Pass O: Hurts may be stellar on the ground, but he’s been average at best in the air. The Broncos suffocate opposing QBs, holding them to just under 240 passing yards per game.
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Eagles vs. Broncos Key Stats
80%: Five QBs this year have completed at least 80% of their passes against the Eagles – the latest being Justin Herbert in Week 9.
6th: The Broncos enter this game with the 6th best overall defense in the NFL, holding teams to less than 100 rushing yards per game.
40-17-1: No better metric in making NFL picks than a QB's record ATS. Nobody has a better record than Bridgewater since he was drafted.
3-0: Hard to ignore perfection – no matter how small the sample size. The Broncos are 3-0 this year against the NFC East.
136.6: The Broncos may be great against the run but that’s not to say they won’t be tested. The Eagles are 6th overall in rushing yards per game.
10.5: The Broncos were a 10.5-point road dog last week in Dallas. They shattered that line and return home as a tight favorite.
Eagles vs. Broncos Player Props
Jalen Hurts, Over 202.5 Passing Yards
Odds:
This was under 200 at the open but is creeping north as we get closer to Sunday. Hurts should be able to move the ball in the air for more than 205 yards, he’s been up and down, but the Eagles will be playing from behind. Even if not, the team wants to pass, to the point where they will abandon the run just to throw.
Quez Watkins, Over 27.5 Receiving Yards
Odds:
Speaking of which, Jalen Reagor is out of the offense, Zach Ertz was traded, which leaves DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. Watkins can clear this number with one catch.
Any DEN defensive player to score a TD
Odds:
A longshot for sure, but it starts to make sense when you see the Eagles have recently seen an uptick in turnovers, and that Denver’s defense is the second-lowest scoring defense in the NFL. Pick 6 or fumble return, it’s worth a half-unit.
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Eagles vs. Broncos Moneyline
Denver is placed just above reach at betting sites for most bettors. The team comes back from a huge win against the Cowboys and could face a letdown. The Eagles are so bad on defense that it would be hard for the Broncos offense not to move the ball.
We’ve seen Bridgewater incorporate a trio of WRs now that Jerry Jeudy is back, adding him in with Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick. It’s worth a risk of betting two units to win one as the Broncos aren’t even getting a full three points for home-field advantage.
Eagles vs. Broncos Spread
This is all about any perceived letdown the Broncos may have after dominating the Cowboys. Denver traded Von Miller, and everyone thought its defense would disintegrate. The reality is it still pressures the QB and has a ton of speed on the field.
The Eagles destroyed the Lions then fell short to the Chargers – but allowed two separate drives with double-digit plays. The Chargers did whatever they wanted with the football, and there’s nothing in the Eagles’ DNA that would indicate this is the week they start blitzing.
Eagles vs. Broncos Total
The number may seem a little low but it’s in the key total range – especially over 41. Denver loves the under, 7-2 to the under this season. They are also 4-0 to the under following a win. If anything, their defense gets better and they take less risks on offense.
The Eagles have a couple of big playmakers on offense, with Hurts, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert, but have been running the ball 39+ times over the past two weeks. The total goes under but not by much, as Philadelphia has shown it can close a gap fast when trailing late in games. You can get